A statistical rugby-league model — NRL, NRLW and State of Origin: try-scorer, goal-kicking and player-points projections, plus NRL & NRLW match markets (head-to-head, line, total) priced to surface value. Educational — not betting advice.
Round 18updated Thu 02 Jul 2026, 07:46AM AEST
| Player▼ | Line▼ | xPts▼ | My price▼ | Best book▼ | Best price▼ | EV▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.SiegwaltSouth Sydney Rabbitohs | 14 | 10.8 | 3.31 | SB | 7.75 | +134% |
| T.DuffyBrisbane Broncos | 14 | 9.8 | 4.52 | SB | 10 | +121% |
| J.IsaakoDolphins | 14 | 12 | 2.54 | SB | 3.15 | +24% |
| N.HynesCronulla-Sutherland Sharks | 14 | 9.9 | 4.16 | SB | 5 | +20% |
| J.FogartyManly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 6 | 9.6 | 1.18 | TAB | 1.12 | -5% |
| S.SmithNewcastle Knights | 4 | 6.9 | 1.18 | DAB | 1.09 | -8% |
| V.HolmesSt George-Illawarra Dragons | 4 | 6.6 | 1.25 | DAB | 1.11 | -12% |
| R.VolkmanParramatta Eels | 2 | 2.9 | 1.43 | TAB | 1.02 | -29% |
| P.AlamotiPenrith Panthers | 4 | 5 | 1.52 | DAB | 1.07 | -30% |
| A.DoueihiWests Tigers | 4 | 1.2 | 4.65 | DAB | 1.06 | -77% |
“My price” is the model’s fair odds; EV compares it to the best book price. Educational only — not betting advice.