A statistical NRL model: try-scorer, goal-kicking and player-points projections priced against live multi-bookmaker odds to surface value. Educational — not betting advice.
| Player▼ | Line▼ | xPts▼ | My price▼ | Best book▼ | Best price▼ | EV▼ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.DoueihiWests Tigers | 14 | 10.3 | 3.88 | SB | 7.2 | +86% |
| J.CliffordNorth Queensland Cowboys | 12 | 7.7 | 5.2 | SB | 8.25 | +59% |
| N.ClearyPenrith Panthers | 14 | 12.1 | 2.55 | DAB | 3.5 | +37% |
| L.SiegwaltSouth Sydney Rabbitohs | 14 | 10.9 | 3.2 | SB | 4.3 | +35% |
| M.MosesParramatta Eels | 10 | 8.8 | 2.28 | TAB | 3 | +32% |
| S.WalkerSydney Roosters | 14 | 10.7 | 3.48 | SB | 4.3 | +24% |
| J.FogartyManly-Warringah Sea Eagles | 12 | 9.7 | 2.85 | SB | 3.3 | +16% |
| S.Fa'alogoMelbourne Storm | 12 | 8.2 | 4.14 | TAB | 4.5 | +9% |
| J.IsaakoDolphins | 12 | 11.6 | 1.95 | SB | 2.03 | +4% |
| K.PongaNewcastle Knights | 6 | 9.4 | 1.21 | DAB | 1.22 | +0% |
| J.CampbellGold Coast Titans | 4 | 7.4 | 1.16 | DAB | 1.09 | -6% |
| V.HolmesSt George-Illawarra Dragons | 4 | 6.7 | 1.25 | DAB | 1.13 | -10% |
| S.CrichtonCanterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs | 4 | 6.3 | 1.29 | DAB | 1.09 | -15% |
| E.SandersCanberra Raiders | 6 | 7.4 | 1.43 | DAB | 1.1 | -23% |
| R.WalshBrisbane Broncos | 4 | 2.2 | 2.44 | TAB | 1.1 | -55% |
| A.PompeyWarriors | 4 | 0.9 | 5.36 | DAB | 1.11 | -79% |
“My price” is the model’s fair odds; EV compares it to the best book price. Educational only — not betting advice.