The Model

A statistical rugby-league model — NRL, NRLW and State of Origin: try-scorer, goal-kicking and player-points projections, plus NRL & NRLW match markets (head-to-head, line, total) priced to surface value. Educational — not betting advice.

Round 18updated Thu 02 Jul 2026, 07:46AM AEST
Player▼Line▼xPts▼My price▼Best book▼Best price▼EV▼
L.SiegwaltSouth Sydney Rabbitohs1410.83.31SB7.75+134%
T.DuffyBrisbane Broncos149.84.52SB10+121%
J.IsaakoDolphins14122.54SB3.15+24%
N.HynesCronulla-Sutherland Sharks149.94.16SB5+20%
J.FogartyManly-Warringah Sea Eagles69.61.18TAB1.12-5%
S.SmithNewcastle Knights46.91.18DAB1.09-8%
V.HolmesSt George-Illawarra Dragons46.61.25DAB1.11-12%
R.VolkmanParramatta Eels22.91.43TAB1.02-29%
P.AlamotiPenrith Panthers451.52DAB1.07-30%
A.DoueihiWests Tigers41.24.65DAB1.06-77%

“My price” is the model’s fair odds; EV compares it to the best book price. Educational only — not betting advice.